Sunday, September 21, 2008

Projection Update

Good news for Colorado: Nate of FiveThirtyEight is projecting a 5.1% win for Udall this coming November. His most recent analysis has Udall winning in 77% of total scenarios run. That said, he also suspects that the likely hood of obtaining a filibuster-proof majority of 60 seats in the Senate has decreased.
The Democrats still retain one fairly clear path to 60 seats, assuming that Joe Lieberman and Bernie Sanders are counted with the majority [...] This path would involve flipping Virginia, New Mexico and New Hampshire -- all of which remain near locks for the Democrats -- along with Colorado, Alaska, Minnesota, Oregon, North Carolina, and Mississippi.
It looks like Colorado will remain in the national political limelight for some time as now the second most contentious US senate race next to Alaska according to FiveThirtyEight's analysis.

1 comment:

Cherrie McKenzie said...

Love your site. I too am a Colorado transplant but in Florida so your blog is great for perspective. Keep it up!!!